Half of UK men could be obese by 2030

Health experts blame pandemic

passive boost global warning in the Lancet that governments must now fight against obesity

governments worldwide need to make immediate and dramatic policy changes to reverse the obesity pandemic that could affect about 11 million people in the UK over the next 20 years, scientists have warned of public health.

The call to action - including a prediction that almost half of British men could be clinically obese by 2030 - is presented in a series of articles published Friday in the medical journal The Lancet " / AA>

The magazine starts with a very strong editorial arguing that voluntary codes of the food industry are inefficient and ministers must intervene more directly.

"Without prevention and control of risk factors for obesity today, health systems will be overwhelmed at the breaking point," says the editorial. "However, government responses to date are wholly inadequate and rely heavily on industry self-regulation by the food and drink, called push and approach."

has a special need for the leadership before the UN summit in New York next month in the prevention of non-communicable diseases like diabetes and cancer, said co-author, Boyd Swinburn , from central obesity prevention at Deakin University in Melbourne.

"Governments have abdicated their responsibility. Like a frog sitting in a pan with hot water, do not realize what is happening until it's too late. "

The magazine has four new research by academics in the UK, USA and Australia in what is called "global pandemic of obesity," tracing its causes , its consequences and the likely evolution in a way that could be reversed.

A study by Claire Wang of Columbia University School of Public Health, using data from UK and U.S. to monitor the possible increase in obesity rates if governments continue with current policies .

Based on 20 years of historical data, the study says that by the year 2030 up to 48% of British men could be obese - with a body mass index greater than 30 - report to 26% today. For women, the figure could rise by 26% to 43%.

This increase is not true, especially taking into account the data a little more positive in recent years. But if historical trends continue over the next two decades, the United Kingdom could be 26 million obese people to 11 million in the current figure.

Swinburn

role comes with a clear main culprit: a powerful global food industry ", which is the most elaborate production, food affordable and marketed efficiently than ever before"

said "increased the offer price, good taste, high-energy food", with better distribution and marketing, led to "passive overconsumption".

• Another study by Steven Gortmaker of the Harvard School of Public Health, concludes that the response of governments has been a lack of commitment reflects the previous struggles to address tobacco consumption snuff.

ministers knew that it made sense to take action against junk food, but has no political appetite to take on this great industry.

"I think that governments understand this, but do not know what to do with him and do not think it is their responsibility. However, it is your responsibility," he said.

his study a list of eight political cost. Crowned by a tax on unhealthy foods and beverages, the approach is based on the protection of children against advertising on television or ensure that they exercise more.
Lancet carries a commentary by Sir David King, former chief scientific adviser of the government, in large letters on the cover:. "The results are unequivocal changes should, in collaboration of the company in many aspects of our environment to avoid the consequences of overweight and morbid obesity."

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